Celtic v Rangers 12 March 2017 – Safe Bet?


At noon today Celtic play newco Rangers at Celtic Park.  

This will be the fourth time the clubs have met this season and the third in the league 

Previous results are 5-1, 0-1, 1-2 with Celtic winning on each occasion. 

Looking at the results above it would appear that after the early “doing” the games were evenly matched with Celtic having narrow victories by single goals. 

That wasn’t the case.  In fact,  although the later results were closer,  Celtic were in control on each occasion and didn’t look like losing. 

The odds offered on today’s game  by the various bookmakers reflect that gulf in class between both teams with best odds of 4/11 Celtic win and 10/1 Rangers win. 

These pay winnings £36 and £1000 respectively on a £100 stake. 

A win ratio of 1000/36 = 28,  i.e. The bookmakers believe that it’s 28 times more likely that Celtic will win than Rangers. 

On today’s offerings and current form, Celtic look like a dead cert winner. 

However,  games aren’t played on paper and there is always a risk,  particularly as today’s referee is Bobby Madden who is a Rangers supporter and former season book holder at Ibrox. 

Not that I’d accuse anyone of being unprofessional in their decision making process.  

But if my house was on fire and I could save either my child or yours,  you’re going to receive some really sad news.  

I’ll be gutted for you,  but that’s the reality of the situation in the heat of the moment and faced with a 50/50 decision any indivudual is more likely to be predisposed to an outcome which favours their fundamental loyalties. 

I personally think that any referee with any leanings to any team should be prevented from refereeing games involving that team. 

I’m not a betting man,  I rarely bet and I don’t throw money away.   Random betting is for mugs,  or a bit of fun,  depending on how serious you take it. 

But money in the bank earns nothing and I have a significant bet placed already on Celtic winning the league. 

https://dancingbhoy.wordpress.com/2016/08/01/money-in-the-bank/

That’s a professional bet made as I considered it zero risk.    I’ll make the same bet next season as it will pay for a great holiday for the family. 

Theres a huge difference between betting on the league over the season and an individual game.  Over the season,  individual losses become insignificant and class counts. 

In contrast,  today’s bet,  a grand to make it interesting is just a bit of fun and pays winnings of £360. 

Now here’s a thought . Would it be worth also putting a ton, £100,  on Rangers paying a £1000 to mitigate the loss of the primary bet?

Sensibly yes.  These games rarely end in draws. 

But I can only see a Celtic win and I’d never ever ever bet against my team. 

Enjoy the game. 

Prediction – Celtic to win 4-1,  or 2-1 if we lose a man through some dodgy decision. 

Mon the Hoops!

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